Round 5 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.103 to 11.48.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.48 (+0.103)
In: 11.38
Rank by index
33
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
322
In: 233
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.648.65+0.0056
Strategic Infrastructure13.1013.11+0.0063
National Security8.828.820.0005
Human Capital12.7413.15+0.4154 → 3
Information & Influence11.1911.43+0.2466
Governance & Integrity11.6811.680.0009
Financial Strength13.1613.25+0.0819
Production & Innovation11.4611.64+0.1818
Trade & Investment11.6411.63−0.0108

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 443, plus 233 carried in. Maintenance 289. Spent 66 on actions (build 26, buy 13, partner 26). 322 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.49 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion13 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation13 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence13 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills13 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.47+1.480.000.00−0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.30+1.300.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.20+1.200.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.18+1.180.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.05+1.050.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.47+0.490.000.00−0.02