Round 6 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.120 to 11.61.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.61 (+0.120)
In: 11.48
Rank by index
31
In: 33
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
395
In: 306
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.658.93+0.2796
Strategic Infrastructure13.1113.11+0.0073
National Security8.828.82−0.0015
Human Capital13.1513.56+0.4113 → 2
Information & Influence11.4311.76+0.3306
Governance & Integrity11.6811.68−0.0019
Financial Strength13.2513.33+0.0819
Production & Innovation11.6411.63−0.0148
Trade & Investment11.6311.62−0.0128

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 448, plus 306 carried in. Maintenance 292. Spent 67 on actions (buy 53, partner 13). 395 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.47 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation13 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies13 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance13 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence13 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.40+1.410.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.37+1.390.000.00−0.02
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.27+1.260.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.94+0.940.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.92+0.930.000.00−0.01
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.77+0.780.000.000.00