Round 7 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.083 to 11.69.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.69 (+0.083)
In: 11.61
Rank by index
30
In: 31
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
464
In: 375
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.938.93+0.0016
Strategic Infrastructure13.1113.13+0.0223
National Security8.828.82+0.0025
Human Capital13.5613.87+0.3052
Information & Influence11.7611.76−0.0046
Governance & Integrity11.6811.68−0.0039
Financial Strength13.3313.40+0.0789 → 8
Production & Innovation11.6311.81+0.1798 → 6
Trade & Investment11.6211.79+0.1638 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 452, plus 375 carried in. Maintenance 296. Spent 67 on actions (buy 27, partner 40). 464 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.46 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion13 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation13 credits for 0.71 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access13 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection13 credits for 1.09 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 8 to 6; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.21+1.220.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.71+0.710.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.69+0.690.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.67+0.680.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.65+0.660.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.54+0.540.000.000.00