Round 8 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.073 to 11.76.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.76 (+0.073)
In: 11.69
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
531
In: 441
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.939.06+0.1296
Strategic Infrastructure13.1313.16+0.0223
National Security8.828.83+0.0035
Human Capital13.8714.03+0.1632
Information & Influence11.7611.76+0.0036
Governance & Integrity11.6811.68−0.0029
Financial Strength13.4013.48+0.0788
Production & Innovation11.8111.82+0.0086
Trade & Investment11.7912.04+0.2517

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 458, plus 441 carried in. Maintenance 300. Spent 68 on actions (build 27, buy 14, partner 27). 531 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance14 credits for 0.45 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing14 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education14 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education14 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position14 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.20+1.210.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.65+0.660.000.00−0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.58+0.570.000.00+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.54+0.540.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.46+0.460.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.45+0.450.000.000.00