Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.019 to 11.74.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.74 (−0.020)
- In: 11.76
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 595
- In: 504
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.06 | 9.12 | +0.059 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.16 | 13.13 | −0.029 | 3 |
| National Security | 8.83 | 8.84 | +0.011 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.03 | 14.02 | −0.007 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 11.76 | 11.74 | −0.025 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.68 | 11.59 | −0.087 | 9 → 10 |
| Financial Strength | 13.48 | 13.38 | −0.101 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.82 | 11.82 | −0.001 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.04 | 12.04 | +0.008 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 464, plus 504 carried in. Maintenance 304. Spent 69 on actions (buy 28, partner 41). 595 carried over.
- PartnerArtificial Intelligence14 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies14 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation14 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication14 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity14 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −21.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.18 | +1.31 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.75 | +0.80 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.07 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.54 | +0.67 | 0.00 | −0.12 | −0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.45 | +0.57 | 0.00 | −0.14 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.44 | +0.58 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.28 | +0.01 |