Round 10 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Middle East settlement, and the index +0.014 to 11.76.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.76 (+0.015)
In: 11.74
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
603
In: 566
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.129.20+0.0846
Strategic Infrastructure13.1313.14+0.0103
National Security8.848.88+0.0425
Human Capital14.0214.01−0.0192
Information & Influence11.7411.94+0.2056
Governance & Integrity11.5911.53−0.05710
Financial Strength13.3813.30−0.0818
Production & Innovation11.8211.72−0.0926
Trade & Investment12.0412.08+0.0357

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 411, plus 566 carried in. Maintenance 304. Spent 70 on actions (build 14, buy 28, partner 28). 603 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance14 credits for 0.45 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence14 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance14 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics14 credits for 1.18 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education14 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +3.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.67+1.740.00−0.26+0.18
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.12+1.220.00−0.11+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.59+0.670.00−0.08−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.46+0.590.00−0.130.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.45+0.580.00−0.13−0.01
Digital & Services Trade−0.240.000.00−0.27+0.03