Round 11 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.004 to 11.75.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.75 (−0.005)
In: 11.76
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
630
In: 573
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.209.21+0.0046 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure13.1413.14+0.0023
National Security8.888.92+0.0415
Human Capital14.0114.06+0.0532
Information & Influence11.9411.85−0.0976
Governance & Integrity11.5311.48−0.05610
Financial Strength13.3013.24−0.0578
Production & Innovation11.7211.77+0.0476 → 5
Trade & Investment12.0812.11+0.0267

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 425, plus 573 carried in. Maintenance 306. Spent 62 on actions (buy 37, partner 25). 630 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance12 credits for 0.40 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation12 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion12 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access12 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −5.7 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.99+1.040.00−0.12+0.07
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.94+1.030.00−0.090.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.57+0.630.00−0.07+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.46+0.590.00−0.130.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.44+0.570.00−0.130.00
Digital & Services Trade−0.230.000.00−0.27+0.03