Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.090 to 11.84.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.84 (+0.090)
- In: 11.75
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 710
- In: 599
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.21 | 9.34 | +0.135 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.14 | 13.19 | +0.049 | 3 |
| National Security | 8.92 | 8.96 | +0.038 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.06 | 14.14 | +0.080 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 11.85 | 11.88 | +0.040 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.48 | 11.51 | +0.029 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 13.24 | 13.32 | +0.074 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.77 | 11.80 | +0.032 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.11 | 12.44 | +0.331 | 7 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 481, plus 599 carried in. Maintenance 306. Spent 64 on actions (buy 13, partner 51). 710 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.40 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection13 credits for 0.99 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence13 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies13 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade13 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.3 points this round.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.14 | +1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.60 | +0.56 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.57 | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.57 | +0.56 | 0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.50 | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.40 | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 |