Round 1 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2027

Round 1 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.024 to 11.71.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.71 (+0.024)
In: 11.69
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
60
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.958.950.0006
Strategic Infrastructure13.8013.800.0003
National Security9.429.420.0005
Human Capital11.8812.05+0.1707 → 6
Information & Influence11.8611.860.0005
Governance & Integrity12.1112.110.0009
Financial Strength13.1313.17+0.0459
Production & Innovation11.8811.880.0008
Trade & Investment12.1812.180.0007

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2027: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 435. Maintenance 310. Spent 65 on actions (build 39, buy 13, partner 13). 60 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.54 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence13 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills13 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling13 credits for 1.37 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation13 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2027, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.76+0.760.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.27+0.270.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.27+0.270.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.25+0.250.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.25+0.250.000.000.00