Round 2 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.032 to 11.75.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.75 (+0.032)
In: 11.71
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
119
In: 57
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.958.950.0006
Strategic Infrastructure13.8013.800.0003
National Security9.429.420.0005
Human Capital12.0512.24+0.1916
Information & Influence11.8611.87+0.0025
Governance & Integrity12.1112.12+0.0019
Financial Strength13.1713.26+0.0919
Production & Innovation11.8811.880.0008
Trade & Investment12.1812.180.0007

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 437, plus 57 carried in. Maintenance 310. Spent 65 on actions (build 52, partner 13). 119 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.53 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence13 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills13 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling13 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education13 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.54+0.540.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.53+0.530.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Foundational Education+0.17+0.170.000.000.00
Monetary & Currency Capability+0.020.000.000.00+0.02