Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.084 to 13.04.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.04 (+0.085)
- In: 12.96
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 753
- In: 704
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.45 | 10.71 | +0.264 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.35 | 14.37 | +0.019 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.57 | 9.58 | +0.015 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.41 | 15.53 | +0.118 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.35 | 13.47 | +0.118 | 3 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.44 | 12.44 | +0.006 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 14.03 | 14.04 | +0.010 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.78 | 12.97 | +0.186 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.23 | 14.25 | +0.024 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 498, plus 704 carried in. Maintenance 375. Spent 75 on actions (build 30, buy 45). 753 carried over.
- BuildFoundational Education15 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts
- BuyArtificial Intelligence15 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling15 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation15 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion15 credits for 1.09 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.27 | +1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.20 | +1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.14 | +1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.60 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.46 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Foundational Education | +0.34 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |