Round 15 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.112 to 12.96.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.96 (+0.112)
In: 12.85
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
741
In: 683
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.3110.45+0.1445
Strategic Infrastructure14.3214.35+0.0283
National Security9.569.57+0.0125
Human Capital15.3215.41+0.0931
Information & Influence12.9413.35+0.4104 → 3
Governance & Integrity12.4312.44+0.0059
Financial Strength14.0214.03+0.0095
Production & Innovation12.7512.78+0.0354
Trade & Investment13.9614.23+0.2695

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 498, plus 683 carried in. Maintenance 366. Spent 75 on actions (build 30, buy 30, partner 15). 741 carried over.

  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling15 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems15 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education15 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance15 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation15 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.26+1.210.000.00+0.04
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.22+1.220.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.15+1.140.000.00+0.01
Digital & Services Trade+0.63+0.600.000.00+0.02
Global Value Chain Position+0.60+0.560.000.00+0.04
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.58+0.560.000.00+0.02