Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 7 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.123 to 12.44.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.44 (+0.122)
- In: 12.31
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 26
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 580
- In: 487
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.39 | 9.54 | +0.146 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.13 | 14.20 | +0.064 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.45 | 9.47 | +0.015 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.41 | 14.66 | +0.254 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.59 | 12.73 | +0.143 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.37 | 12.40 | +0.034 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.89 | 14.01 | +0.117 | 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.26 | 12.47 | +0.213 | 6 → 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.34 | 12.45 | +0.118 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 500, plus 487 carried in. Maintenance 333. Spent 74 on actions (build 15, buy 30, partner 30). 580 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance15 credits for 0.46 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education15 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion15 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing15 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access15 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.1 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.31 | +1.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.29 | +1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.76 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.71 | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.71 | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.53 | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.01 |