Round 9 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 7 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.118 to 12.32.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.32 (−0.117)
In: 12.44
Rank by index
26
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
612
In: 551
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.549.56+0.0236 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure14.2014.10−0.0963
National Security9.479.49+0.0245
Human Capital14.6614.74+0.0761
Information & Influence12.7312.61−0.1285
Governance & Integrity12.4012.25−0.1569
Financial Strength14.0113.59−0.4227 → 8
Production & Innovation12.4712.26−0.2075 → 6
Trade & Investment12.4512.28−0.1747

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 477, plus 551 carried in. Maintenance 341. Spent 75 on actions (build 15, buy 30, partner 30). 612 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance15 credits for 0.45 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education15 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection15 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence15 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity15 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −13.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 7 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.22+1.350.00−0.15+0.01
Financial Regulation & Integrity−0.550.000.00−0.550.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.540.000.00−0.550.00
Financial System Depth & Access−0.540.000.00−0.540.00
Labour & Employment−0.520.000.00−0.54+0.02
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.510.000.00−0.54+0.03