Round 10 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 7 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.078 to 12.40.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.40 (+0.077)
In: 12.32
Rank by index
25
In: 26
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
648
In: 582
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.569.60+0.0365
Strategic Infrastructure14.1014.14+0.0423
National Security9.499.52+0.0265
Human Capital14.7414.88+0.1411
Information & Influence12.6112.61+0.0055
Governance & Integrity12.2512.25+0.0059
Financial Strength13.5913.66+0.0718 → 7
Production & Innovation12.2612.29+0.0316
Trade & Investment12.2812.62+0.3427

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 475, plus 582 carried in. Maintenance 338. Spent 72 on actions (build 14, partner 57). 648 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance14 credits for 0.43 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection14 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education14 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position14 credits for 1.18 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication14 credits for 1.18 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.14+1.130.000.00+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Advanced Education+0.56+0.530.000.00+0.04
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.47+0.440.000.00+0.03
Foundational Education+0.37+0.350.000.00+0.02