Round 11 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 7 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.099 to 12.50.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.50 (+0.099)
In: 12.40
Rank by index
25
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
685
In: 615
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.609.87+0.2745
Strategic Infrastructure14.1414.17+0.0283
National Security9.529.54+0.0215
Human Capital14.8815.03+0.1431
Information & Influence12.6112.62+0.0135
Governance & Integrity12.2512.26+0.0049
Financial Strength13.6613.70+0.0447 → 6
Production & Innovation12.2912.32+0.0266 → 5
Trade & Investment12.6212.96+0.3377 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 483, plus 615 carried in. Maintenance 342. Spent 71 on actions (build 14, buy 29, partner 29). 685 carried over.

  • PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation14 credits for 0.70 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies14 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing14 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education14 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics14 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 7 to 6; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.31+1.300.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.15+1.140.000.00+0.01
Advanced Education+0.74+0.690.000.00+0.05
Global Value Chain Position+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.59+0.570.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.56+0.590.000.00−0.03