Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 7 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.097 to 12.59.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.59 (+0.097)
- In: 12.50
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 717
- In: 651
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.87 | 9.89 | +0.019 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.17 | 14.20 | +0.029 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.54 | 9.55 | +0.013 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.03 | 15.15 | +0.125 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.62 | 12.80 | +0.179 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.26 | 12.26 | +0.003 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.70 | 13.71 | +0.009 | 6 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.32 | 12.63 | +0.307 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.96 | 13.14 | +0.183 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 486, plus 651 carried in. Maintenance 348. Spent 73 on actions (build 15, buy 29, partner 29). 717 carried over.
- BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance15 credits for 1.07 levelsmctsahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation15 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence15 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion15 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity15 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.23 | +1.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.79 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Advanced Education | +0.75 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.65 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.63 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.58 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |