Round 13 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 7 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.110 to 12.70.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.70 (+0.110)
In: 12.59
Rank by index
24
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
747
In: 681
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.8910.04+0.1505
Strategic Infrastructure14.2014.22+0.0263
National Security9.559.56+0.0115
Human Capital15.1515.33+0.1831
Information & Influence12.8013.17+0.3665 → 4
Governance & Integrity12.2612.26+0.0049
Financial Strength13.7113.72+0.0146 → 5
Production & Innovation12.6312.66+0.0364
Trade & Investment13.1413.34+0.2026 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 492, plus 681 carried in. Maintenance 352. Spent 73 on actions (buy 29, partner 44). 747 carried over.

  • PartnerDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance15 credits for 1.02 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access15 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation15 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence15 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation15 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 6 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.36+1.170.000.00+0.18
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.28+1.280.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.95+0.920.000.00+0.03
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.87+0.870.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.64+0.610.000.00+0.03
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.64+0.630.000.00+0.01