Round 3 · simulation 15 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.062 to 11.65.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.65 (+0.061)
In: 11.59
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
197
In: 124
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.386.63+0.2427
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.86+0.0025
National Security7.547.54+0.0016
Human Capital14.6314.71+0.0763
Information & Influence10.6910.70+0.0046
Governance & Integrity15.4615.46+0.0013
Financial Strength13.1813.27+0.0938
Production & Innovation12.9213.03+0.1135
Trade & Investment12.6012.62+0.0226

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 401, plus 124 carried in. Maintenance 269. Spent 59 on actions (build 12, buy 24, partner 24). 197 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance12 credits for 0.39 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.94 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.07+1.070.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.96+0.960.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.73+0.730.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.69+0.690.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.55+0.400.000.00+0.15
Artificial Intelligence+0.330.000.000.00+0.33