Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.063 to 11.56.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.56 (−0.063)
- In: 11.63
- Rank by index
- 32
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 283
- In: 251
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.84 | 6.82 | −0.018 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.81 | 10.77 | −0.045 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.50 | 7.48 | −0.026 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.77 | 14.88 | +0.108 | 3 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 10.76 | 10.71 | −0.052 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.39 | 15.32 | −0.071 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.19 | 13.08 | −0.102 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.99 | 12.85 | −0.141 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.40 | 12.18 | −0.220 | 6 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 365, plus 251 carried in. Maintenance 272. Spent 62 on actions (build 25, partner 37). 283 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance12 credits for 0.38 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling12 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks12 credits for 1.01 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −7.9 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.07 | +1.11 | 0.00 | −0.04 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.38 | +0.46 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.45 |
| Global Value Chain Position | −0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.31 | −0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | −0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.31 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | −0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.31 | 0.00 |