Round 10 · simulation 15 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.099 to 11.90.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.90 (+0.098)
In: 11.80
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
585
In: 496
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.778.10+0.3256
Strategic Infrastructure10.8510.90+0.0525
National Security7.577.59+0.0216
Human Capital15.2115.22+0.0151
Information & Influence11.1411.37+0.2336
Governance & Integrity15.2715.28+0.0103
Financial Strength13.0813.10+0.0156
Production & Innovation12.8112.93+0.1195
Trade & Investment12.5412.64+0.0996

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 440, plus 496 carried in. Maintenance 285. Spent 66 on actions (buy 39, partner 26). 585 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure13 credits for 0.81 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing13 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies13 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy13 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity13 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +0.6 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.30+1.300.00+0.010.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.25+1.240.00+0.010.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.73+0.720.00+0.010.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.68+0.640.000.00+0.03
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.60+0.600.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.55+0.550.00+0.01−0.01