Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.080 to 11.98.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.98 (+0.080)
- In: 11.90
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 644
- In: 556
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.10 | 8.36 | +0.265 | 6 → 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.90 | 10.99 | +0.083 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.59 | 7.61 | +0.027 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.22 | 15.26 | +0.039 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.37 | 11.57 | +0.196 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.28 | 15.29 | +0.011 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.10 | 13.13 | +0.035 | 6 → 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.93 | 12.96 | +0.027 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.64 | 12.67 | +0.035 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 445, plus 556 carried in. Maintenance 290. Spent 66 on actions (build 13, buy 26, partner 26). 644 carried over.
- PartnerSpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure13 credits for 0.81 levelsmctsahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation13 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks13 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling13 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing13 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +0.6 points this round.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.39 | +1.26 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.12 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.89 | +0.88 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.60 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.57 | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.51 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.28 |