Round 12 · simulation 15 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.102 to 12.09.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.09 (+0.102)
In: 11.98
Rank by index
28
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
696
In: 612
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.368.64+0.2765
Strategic Infrastructure10.9911.12+0.1325
National Security7.617.65+0.0346
Human Capital15.2615.30+0.0391
Information & Influence11.5711.87+0.2966
Governance & Integrity15.2915.30+0.0113
Financial Strength13.1313.15+0.0135
Production & Innovation12.9612.97+0.0185
Trade & Investment12.6712.77+0.0986

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 447, plus 612 carried in. Maintenance 296. Spent 67 on actions (buy 53, partner 13). 696 carried over.

  • BuyEnergy Technologies13 credits for 1.22 levelsmctsahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies13 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection13 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance13 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure13 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +0.6 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.25+1.240.00+0.020.00
Energy Technologies+1.23+1.220.00+0.010.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.20+1.140.000.00+0.06
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+1.00+0.970.00+0.01+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.54+0.530.00+0.010.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.52+0.490.000.00+0.03