Round 13 · simulation 15 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.087 to 12.17.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.17 (+0.087)
In: 12.09
Rank by index
28
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
729
In: 662
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.648.95+0.3105
Strategic Infrastructure11.1211.21+0.0895
National Security7.657.69+0.0456
Human Capital15.3015.33+0.0301
Information & Influence11.8711.98+0.1176 → 5
Governance & Integrity15.3015.300.0003
Financial Strength13.1513.15+0.0015
Production & Innovation12.9712.98+0.0055
Trade & Investment12.7712.96+0.1876

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 435, plus 662 carried in. Maintenance 301. Spent 67 on actions (buy 27, partner 40). 729 carried over.

  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing13 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies13 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence13 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation13 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access13 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.41+1.130.000.00+0.28
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.22+1.210.000.000.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.72+0.690.000.00+0.03
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.65+0.620.000.00+0.03
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.64+0.600.000.00+0.03
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.53+0.530.000.000.00