Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.086 to 12.26.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.26 (+0.086)
- In: 12.17
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 28
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 757
- In: 693
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.95 | 9.23 | +0.288 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.21 | 11.23 | +0.018 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.69 | 7.74 | +0.044 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.33 | 15.36 | +0.029 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.98 | 12.10 | +0.116 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.30 | 15.30 | 0.000 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.15 | 13.15 | −0.001 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.98 | 13.08 | +0.105 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.96 | 13.13 | +0.176 | 6 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 436, plus 693 carried in. Maintenance 307. Spent 65 on actions (buy 39, partner 26). 757 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing13 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication13 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies13 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies13 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity13 credits for 0.68 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.12 | +1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.84 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.81 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.68 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.65 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.64 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |