Round 3 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.084 to 11.68.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.68 (+0.084)
In: 11.60
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
208
In: 124
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.396.65+0.2547
Strategic Infrastructure10.8810.89+0.0135
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.6414.73+0.0883
Information & Influence10.7010.90+0.2066
Governance & Integrity15.4715.49+0.0133
Financial Strength13.1213.22+0.0979 → 8
Production & Innovation13.0013.06+0.0615
Trade & Investment12.6112.63+0.0256

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 413, plus 124 carried in. Maintenance 270. Spent 59 on actions (build 12, buy 24, partner 24). 208 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance12 credits for 0.40 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.94 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +0.7 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.20+1.170.00+0.01+0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.08+1.070.00+0.010.00
Space Technologies+0.97+0.960.00+0.010.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.71+0.690.00+0.020.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.54+0.400.00+0.01+0.13
Artificial Intelligence+0.360.000.00+0.01+0.35