Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Debt service reset, and the index +0.085 to 11.76.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.76 (+0.085)
- In: 11.68
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 282
- In: 198
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.65 | 7.05 | +0.399 | 7 → 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.89 | 10.92 | +0.028 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 7.55 | +0.006 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.73 | 14.86 | +0.124 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.90 | 10.93 | +0.029 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.49 | 15.51 | +0.026 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.22 | 13.32 | +0.100 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.06 | 13.08 | +0.024 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.63 | 12.66 | +0.029 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 419, plus 198 carried in. Maintenance 273. Spent 62 on actions (build 12, buy 25, partner 25). 282 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance12 credits for 0.41 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence12 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.94 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +2.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.81 | +1.33 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.47 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.06 | +1.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.95 | +0.94 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.94 | +0.91 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.49 | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.06 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.09 |