Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.077 to 11.84.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.84 (+0.077)
- In: 11.76
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 375
- In: 268
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.05 | 7.17 | +0.121 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.92 | 11.00 | +0.081 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.55 | 7.57 | +0.019 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.86 | 15.03 | +0.174 | 3 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 10.93 | 10.96 | +0.025 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.51 | 15.54 | +0.028 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.32 | 13.41 | +0.092 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.08 | 13.21 | +0.125 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.66 | 12.69 | +0.029 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 449, plus 268 carried in. Maintenance 279. Spent 63 on actions (build 25, buy 25, partner 13). 375 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.40 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills13 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling13 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity13 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure13 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.1 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.15 | +1.12 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.75 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.51 | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.49 |
| Space Technologies | +0.48 | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.43 | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |