Round 6 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.112 to 11.95.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.95 (+0.113)
In: 11.84
Rank by index
29
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
465
In: 356
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.177.50+0.3276
Strategic Infrastructure11.0011.09+0.0905
National Security7.577.60+0.0316
Human Capital15.0315.21+0.1762
Information & Influence10.9611.07+0.1126
Governance & Integrity15.5415.57+0.0273
Financial Strength13.4113.48+0.0728 → 7
Production & Innovation13.2113.35+0.1435
Trade & Investment12.6912.72+0.0336

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 458, plus 356 carried in. Maintenance 282. Spent 67 on actions (build 14, buy 40, partner 14). 465 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity14 credits for 0.75 levelsmctsahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing14 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling14 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks14 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies14 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +1.1 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.43+1.410.00+0.010.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.06+1.050.00+0.010.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.92+0.890.00+0.030.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.77+0.750.00+0.010.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.59+0.540.00+0.01+0.04
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.55+0.440.00+0.02+0.09