Round 7 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.110 to 12.06.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.06 (+0.110)
In: 11.95
Rank by index
29
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
539
In: 442
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.507.72+0.2206 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure11.0911.13+0.0405
National Security7.607.64+0.0436
Human Capital15.2115.35+0.1412 → 1
Information & Influence11.0711.39+0.3226
Governance & Integrity15.5715.58+0.0153
Financial Strength13.4813.55+0.0707 → 6
Production & Innovation13.3513.38+0.0255
Trade & Investment12.7212.84+0.1146

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 454, plus 442 carried in. Maintenance 288. Spent 69 on actions (buy 28, partner 41). 539 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance14 credits for 0.41 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing14 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access14 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance14 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies14 credits for 0.95 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +0.5 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.41+1.410.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.31+1.240.00+0.01+0.06
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.69+0.680.00+0.010.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.67+0.660.00+0.010.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.59+0.540.00+0.01+0.05
Space Technologies+0.48+0.480.000.000.00