Round 8 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.112 to 12.18.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.18 (+0.111)
In: 12.06
Rank by index
28
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
607
In: 512
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.728.09+0.3765
Strategic Infrastructure11.1311.17+0.0415
National Security7.647.68+0.0436
Human Capital15.3515.47+0.1191
Information & Influence11.3911.53+0.1426
Governance & Integrity15.5815.60+0.0163
Financial Strength13.5513.61+0.0546 → 5
Production & Innovation13.3813.39+0.0145
Trade & Investment12.8413.04+0.1996

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 457, plus 512 carried in. Maintenance 294. Spent 68 on actions (buy 27, partner 41). 607 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation14 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing14 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies14 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation14 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection14 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +0.5 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.44+1.410.000.00+0.03
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.94+0.930.000.00+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.70+0.680.00+0.01+0.02
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.70+0.680.00+0.01+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.57+0.560.00+0.01+0.01