Round 9 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.141 to 12.03.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.03 (−0.141)
In: 12.18
Rank by index
29
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
641
In: 577
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.098.36+0.2695
Strategic Infrastructure11.1711.09−0.0835
National Security7.687.72+0.0356
Human Capital15.4715.44−0.0291
Information & Influence11.5311.60+0.0656 → 5
Governance & Integrity15.6015.42−0.1753
Financial Strength13.6113.01−0.5985 → 7
Production & Innovation13.3912.98−0.4065
Trade & Investment13.0412.69−0.3466

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 435, plus 577 carried in. Maintenance 302. Spent 69 on actions (buy 55, partner 14). 641 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing14 credits for 0.91 levelsmctsahead of Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies14 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure14 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy14 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing14 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −16.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.19+1.320.00−0.130.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.16+1.290.00−0.130.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.69+0.910.00−0.220.00
Economic Output & Productivity−0.680.000.00−0.680.00
Financial System Depth & Access−0.670.000.00−0.670.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.650.000.00−0.650.00