Round 10 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.077 to 12.11.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.11 (+0.078)
In: 12.03
Rank by index
28
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
667
In: 609
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.368.53+0.1675
Strategic Infrastructure11.0911.16+0.0745
National Security7.727.75+0.0286
Human Capital15.4415.47+0.0381
Information & Influence11.6011.79+0.1925
Governance & Integrity15.4215.43+0.0023
Financial Strength13.0113.02+0.0057
Production & Innovation12.9813.09+0.1005
Trade & Investment12.6912.78+0.0916

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 422, plus 609 carried in. Maintenance 298. Spent 65 on actions (buy 26, partner 39). 667 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.39 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity13 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies13 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks13 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access13 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.21+1.210.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.72+0.720.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.63+0.600.000.00+0.03
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.60+0.610.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.52+0.480.000.00+0.03
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.49+0.450.000.00+0.04