Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.079 to 12.19.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.19 (+0.078)
- In: 12.11
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 28
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 696
- In: 634
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.53 | 8.69 | +0.157 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.16 | 11.18 | +0.016 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.75 | 7.78 | +0.031 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.47 | 15.48 | +0.010 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.79 | 11.87 | +0.083 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.43 | 15.43 | 0.000 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.02 | 13.09 | +0.072 | 7 → 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.09 | 13.18 | +0.093 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.78 | 13.03 | +0.246 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 427, plus 634 carried in. Maintenance 302. Spent 63 on actions (buy 25, partner 38). 696 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.38 levelsmctsahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection13 credits for 1.02 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication13 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation13 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity13 credits for 0.67 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 7 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.26 | +1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.65 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.63 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.53 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.51 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.49 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.04 |