Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.079 to 12.27.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.27 (+0.079)
- In: 12.19
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 727
- In: 661
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.69 | 8.82 | +0.136 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.18 | 11.19 | +0.013 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.78 | 7.81 | +0.032 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.48 | 15.51 | +0.025 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.87 | 12.07 | +0.200 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.43 | 15.43 | 0.000 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.09 | 13.14 | +0.053 | 5 → 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.18 | 13.19 | +0.015 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.03 | 13.26 | +0.234 | 6 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 436, plus 661 carried in. Maintenance 306. Spent 64 on actions (build 13, buy 26, partner 26). 727 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing13 credits for 0.80 levelsmctsahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance13 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies13 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education13 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection13 credits for 1.00 levelmcts_fill
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.13 | +1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +1.04 | +1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.80 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.52 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Space Technologies | +0.40 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.29 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 |