Round 4 · simulation 12 · mcts-m2b.m2b-gbr-greedy

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 12 of United Kingdom, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.146 to 16.80.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.80 (+0.146)
In: 16.65
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 3
Credits carried
819
In: 615
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1616.160.0003
Strategic Infrastructure16.0316.030.0002
National Security16.2816.280.0002
Human Capital17.5018.12+0.6121
Information & Influence17.1517.150.0002
Governance & Integrity16.4816.480.0001
Financial Strength17.3617.43+0.0682
Production & Innovation16.2316.30+0.0691
Trade & Investment16.6717.23+0.5622 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,094, plus 615 carried in. Maintenance 726. Spent 164 on actions (build 33, partner 131). 819 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity33 credits for 1.45 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 7 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication33 credits for 1.97 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 3 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position33 credits for 1.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 2 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance33 credits for 0.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence33 credits for 2.01 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.61+1.610.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.57+1.570.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.00+1.000.000.000.00
Foundational Education+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.98+0.960.000.00+0.02