Round 5 · simulation 12 · mcts-m2b.m2b-gbr-greedy

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 12 of United Kingdom, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.152 to 16.95.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.95 (+0.152)
In: 16.80
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 4
Credits carried
955
In: 778
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1616.160.0003
Strategic Infrastructure16.0316.03+0.0012
National Security16.2816.280.0002
Human Capital18.1218.45+0.3341
Information & Influence17.1517.16+0.0052
Governance & Integrity16.4816.48+0.0021
Financial Strength17.4317.51+0.0892 → 1
Production & Innovation16.3016.46+0.1551
Trade & Investment17.2318.02+0.7801

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,108, plus 778 carried in. Maintenance 767. Spent 164 on actions (build 66, partner 99). 955 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity33 credits for 1.39 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 10 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection33 credits for 1.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication33 credits for 1.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Early Childhood Development by 3 per cent
  • BuildEarly Childhood Development33 credits for 1.64 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position33 credits for 1.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Export Capability & Sophistication+1.84+1.840.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+1.78+1.750.000.00+0.03
Economic Output & Productivity+1.03+0.950.000.00+0.08
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.02+1.000.000.00+0.02
Foundational Education+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.80+0.780.000.00+0.01