Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 3 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.057 to 16.23.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.23 (−0.056)
- In: 16.29
- Rank by index
- 5
- In: 4
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 1,105
- In: 972
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.89 | 15.71 | −0.189 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.87 | 15.78 | −0.087 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.28 | 16.28 | −0.001 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 17.01 | 17.30 | +0.289 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.74 | 16.53 | −0.210 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.24 | 16.12 | −0.121 | 1 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 16.95 | 16.78 | −0.169 | 2 → 3 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.52 | 15.61 | +0.083 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.07 | 15.97 | −0.104 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 943, plus 972 carried in. Maintenance 668. Spent 143 on actions (build 86, buy 29, partner 29). 1,105 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance29 credits for 0.82 levelsmctsahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling29 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education29 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion29 credits for 2.00 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access29 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −10.3 points this round.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 1 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.83 | +2.00 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.21 | +1.43 | 0.00 | −0.22 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.76 | +0.97 | 0.00 | −0.20 | −0.01 |
| Foundational Education | +0.54 | +0.65 | 0.00 | −0.11 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.51 | +0.73 | 0.00 | −0.22 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.45 | +0.56 | 0.00 | −0.11 | 0.00 |