Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.011 to 6.79.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.79 (−0.011)
- In: 6.80
- Rank by index
- 85
- In: 84
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 46
- In: 48
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.99 | 2.96 | −0.031 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.17 | 7.13 | −0.041 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.41 | 4.39 | −0.022 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.62 | 7.72 | +0.106 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.08 | 8.11 | +0.029 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.49 | 8.45 | −0.037 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.87 | 7.85 | −0.023 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.10 | 7.04 | −0.063 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.43 | 7.42 | −0.020 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 134, plus 48 carried in. Maintenance 114. Spent 23 on actions (build 5, buy 5, partner 14). 46 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.26 levelsmcts
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.53 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.56 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.55 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −2.8 points this round.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.55 | +0.57 | 0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.52 | +0.56 | 0.00 | −0.04 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.43 | +0.45 | 0.00 | −0.02 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.20 | +0.26 | 0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.18 | +0.21 | 0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.18 | +0.32 | 0.00 | −0.14 | −0.01 |