Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.009 to 6.78.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.78 (−0.010)
- In: 6.79
- Rank by index
- 85
- In: 85
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 45
- In: 43
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.96 | 2.98 | +0.026 | 12 → 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.13 | 7.09 | −0.040 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.39 | 4.37 | −0.018 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.72 | 7.80 | +0.079 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.11 | 8.05 | −0.064 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.45 | 8.41 | −0.036 | 15 → 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.85 | 7.83 | −0.024 | 20 → 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.04 | 6.98 | −0.060 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.42 | 7.47 | +0.054 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 135, plus 43 carried in. Maintenance 113. Spent 20 on actions (build 4, buy 4, partner 12). 45 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.23 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills4 credits for 0.46 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access4 credits for 0.56 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies4 credits for 0.56 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication4 credits for 0.49 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −2.8 points this round.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 11; Governance & Integrity Tier 15 to 16; Financial Strength Tier 20 to 21.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.53 | +0.56 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.52 | +0.54 | 0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.46 | +0.60 | 0.00 | −0.14 | −0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.42 | +0.52 | 0.00 | −0.09 | −0.01 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.31 | +0.33 | 0.00 | −0.02 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.18 | +0.24 | 0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 |