Round 7 · simulation 11 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.040 to 6.82.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.82 (+0.040)
In: 6.78
Rank by index
84
In: 85
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
64
In: 43
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.983.04+0.05311
Strategic Infrastructure7.097.10+0.0068
National Security4.374.38+0.0079
Human Capital7.807.87+0.07012
Information & Influence8.058.10+0.0509
Governance & Integrity8.418.41−0.00416
Financial Strength7.837.87+0.03921
Production & Innovation6.987.05+0.06815
Trade & Investment7.477.54+0.06713

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 154, plus 43 carried in. Maintenance 113. Spent 20 on actions (build 4, buy 8, partner 8). 64 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.23 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills4 credits for 0.44 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation4 credits for 0.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence4 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.50 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.56+0.570.000.00−0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.50+0.510.000.00−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.28+0.290.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.27+0.280.000.00−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.23+0.240.000.00−0.01