Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.045 to 6.86.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.86 (+0.045)
- In: 6.82
- Rank by index
- 83
- In: 84
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 79
- In: 61
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.04 | 3.16 | +0.122 | 11 → 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.10 | 7.11 | +0.005 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.006 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.87 | 7.92 | +0.046 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.10 | 8.29 | +0.196 | 9 → 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.41 | 8.40 | −0.005 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.87 | 7.91 | +0.043 | 21 → 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.05 | 7.04 | −0.003 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.54 | 7.53 | −0.005 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 155, plus 61 carried in. Maintenance 114. Spent 23 on actions (buy 14, partner 9). 79 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.25 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.55 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 10; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 21 to 20.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.62 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.61 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.61 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.56 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.39 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.23 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |