Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.349 to 6.51.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.51 (−0.349)
- In: 6.86
- Rank by index
- 90
- In: 83
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 93
- In: 75
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.16 | 3.09 | −0.070 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.11 | 6.59 | −0.514 | 8 → 9 |
| National Security | 4.38 | 4.02 | −0.367 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.92 | 7.78 | −0.135 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.29 | 8.09 | −0.203 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.40 | 8.06 | −0.342 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.91 | 7.35 | −0.559 | 20 → 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.04 | 6.70 | −0.350 | 15 → 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.53 | 6.93 | −0.603 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 156, plus 75 carried in. Maintenance 115. Spent 23 on actions (buy 9, partner 14). 93 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.25 levelsmcts
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.51 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.62 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection5 credits for 0.53 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.56 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −27.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 8 to 9; Financial Strength Tier 20 to 21; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 16.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.09 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.97 | +0.25 | 0.00 | −1.21 | −0.01 |
| Transport Infrastructure | −0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.91 | +0.02 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.85 | 0.00 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.80 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.73 | 0.00 |