Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.030 to 6.54.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.54 (+0.030)
- In: 6.51
- Rank by index
- 90
- In: 90
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 107
- In: 89
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.09 | 3.15 | +0.061 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.59 | 6.60 | +0.007 | 9 |
| National Security | 4.02 | 4.02 | +0.005 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.78 | 7.80 | +0.016 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.09 | 8.09 | −0.002 | 8 → 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.06 | 8.06 | −0.006 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.35 | 7.36 | +0.011 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.70 | 6.69 | −0.004 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.93 | 7.11 | +0.185 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 148, plus 89 carried in. Maintenance 106. Spent 24 on actions (buy 5, partner 19). 107 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.27 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.56 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.62 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection5 credits for 0.54 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 8 to 9.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.62 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.60 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.51 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.26 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.21 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.05 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.17 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |