Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.035 to 6.58.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.58 (+0.035)
- In: 6.54
- Rank by index
- 90
- In: 90
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 122
- In: 101
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.15 | 3.26 | +0.115 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.60 | 6.58 | −0.013 | 9 |
| National Security | 4.02 | 4.03 | +0.004 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.80 | 7.80 | +0.004 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.09 | 8.08 | −0.005 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.06 | 8.05 | −0.006 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.36 | 7.40 | +0.035 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.69 | 6.73 | +0.037 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.11 | 7.26 | +0.145 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 150, plus 101 carried in. Maintenance 107. Spent 22 on actions (buy 13, partner 9). 122 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.25 levelsmcts
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing4 credits for 0.48 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence4 credits for 0.59 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity4 credits for 0.36 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication4 credits for 0.52 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.70 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.50 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.04 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.48 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.35 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.30 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.26 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |