Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.031 to 6.61.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.61 (+0.031)
- In: 6.58
- Rank by index
- 90
- In: 90
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 138
- In: 116
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.26 | 3.31 | +0.050 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.58 | 6.58 | −0.010 | 9 |
| National Security | 4.03 | 4.03 | −0.001 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.80 | 7.80 | −0.005 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.08 | 8.13 | +0.050 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.05 | 8.04 | −0.005 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.40 | 7.45 | +0.052 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.73 | 6.80 | +0.077 | 16 → 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.26 | 7.33 | +0.068 | 13 → 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 153, plus 116 carried in. Maintenance 108. Spent 23 on actions (buy 9, partner 14). 138 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.25 levelsmctsahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.48 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.54 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence5 credits for 0.56 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 15; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.55 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.48 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.29 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.29 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.28 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.24 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |