Round 13 · simulation 11 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.038 to 6.65.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.65 (+0.038)
In: 6.61
Rank by index
89
In: 90
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
153
In: 131
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.313.49+0.17710 → 9
Strategic Infrastructure6.586.57−0.0099
National Security4.034.03+0.0019
Human Capital7.807.79−0.00712
Information & Influence8.138.24+0.1049
Governance & Integrity8.048.04−0.00416
Financial Strength7.457.50+0.04721
Production & Innovation6.806.800.00015
Trade & Investment7.337.36+0.03612

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 154, plus 131 carried in. Maintenance 109. Spent 23 on actions (buy 14, partner 9). 153 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.25 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.48 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.71+0.580.000.00+0.14
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.60+0.610.000.00−0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.58+0.580.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.48+0.480.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.32+0.280.000.00+0.04
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.25+0.250.000.000.00