Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.035 to 6.68.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.68 (+0.035)
- In: 6.65
- Rank by index
- 88
- In: 89
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 167
- In: 145
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.49 | 3.55 | +0.063 | 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.57 | 6.56 | −0.009 | 9 |
| National Security | 4.03 | 4.02 | −0.003 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.79 | 7.78 | −0.007 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.24 | 8.38 | +0.142 | 9 → 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.04 | 8.04 | −0.005 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.50 | 7.54 | +0.043 | 21 → 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.80 | 6.86 | +0.052 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.36 | 7.40 | +0.039 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 156, plus 145 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 23 on actions (buy 14, partner 9). 167 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.25 levelsmctsahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.48 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.37 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.55 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.59 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 9 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 21 to 20.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.55 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.48 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.38 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.30 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.29 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.24 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |