Round 2041
Round 15 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.041 to 6.72.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.72 (+0.041)
- In: 6.68
- Rank by index
- 87
- In: 88
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 182
- In: 159
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.55 | 3.73 | +0.180 | 9 → 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.56 | 6.57 | +0.013 | 9 |
| National Security | 4.02 | 4.03 | +0.008 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.78 | 7.78 | −0.005 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.38 | 8.38 | 0.000 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.04 | 8.03 | −0.004 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.54 | 7.57 | +0.028 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.86 | 6.91 | +0.057 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.40 | 7.49 | +0.092 | 12 → 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 158, plus 159 carried in. Maintenance 112. Spent 23 on actions (buy 19, partner 5). 182 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.37 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.47 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing5 credits for 0.56 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.59 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.59 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.57 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.56 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.47 | +0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.37 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.19 |