Round 17 · simulation 11 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.029 to 6.11.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.11 (+0.028)
In: 6.08
Rank by index
95
In: 95
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
208
In: 187
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.563.63+0.0669
Strategic Infrastructure5.805.81+0.0129
National Security3.823.83+0.0099
Human Capital7.177.17−0.00312
Information & Influence7.387.43+0.05410 → 9
Governance & Integrity7.507.50−0.00617
Financial Strength6.476.42−0.04923
Production & Innovation6.356.34−0.00816
Trade & Investment6.656.83+0.18313

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 145, plus 187 carried in. Maintenance 100. Spent 24 on actions (buy 5, partner 19). 208 carried over.

  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics5 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.65 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.47 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection5 credits for 0.55 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 10 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.57+0.580.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.50+0.540.000.00−0.04
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.47+0.470.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.32+0.320.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.26+0.290.000.00−0.02
Artificial Intelligence+0.180.000.000.00+0.18